Independent Bank Stock Performance

IBCP Stock  USD 36.97  0.24  0.65%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Independent Bank holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.39, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Independent Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Independent Bank is likely to outperform the market. Please check Independent Bank's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Independent Bank's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Independent Bank are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile fundamental indicators, Independent Bank reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.1
Five Day Return
2.43
Year To Date Return
14.1
Ten Year Return
150.37
All Time Return
217.18
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0308
Payout Ratio
0.3232
Last Split Factor
1:10
Forward Dividend Rate
1.12
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
1
Independent Bank Corp Nasdaq Composite Local Banking
12/16/2025
2
Acquisition by Kruse Ronia F of 136 shares of Independent Bank subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
3
Acquisition by Gulis Stephen L Jr of 521 shares of Independent Bank subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
4
Independent Bank Corporation Announces 7.7 percent Increase in Quarterly Cash Dividend on Common Stock
01/16/2026
5
Independent Bank Corp. Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
01/22/2026
6
INDB Q4 CY2025 Deep Dive Commercial Lending Growth and Deposit Mix Support Margin Outlook
01/23/2026
7
SSB Q4 2025 Deep Dive Integration Complete, Organic Growth Accelerates in New Markets
01/26/2026
8
The Top 5 Analyst Questions From Independent Banks Q4 Earnings Call
01/29/2026
9
Barclays Downgrades Independent Bank to Underweight From Equalweight, Price Target is 80 - marketscreener.com
02/02/2026
10
Donna Abelli Sells 524 Shares of Independent Bank Stock - MarketBeat
02/05/2026
 
Independent Bank dividend paid on 13th of February 2026
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow169.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-118.2 M
Free Cash Flow55.2 M

Independent Bank Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,247  in Independent Bank on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  450.00  from holding Independent Bank or generate 13.86% return on investment over 90 days. Independent Bank is currently generating 0.2268% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4493% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Independent, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Independent Bank is expected to generate 1.94 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.94 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Independent Bank Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Independent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.97 90 days 36.97 
nearly 4.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Independent Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.18 (This Independent Bank probability density function shows the probability of Independent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Independent Bank has a beta of -0.39. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Independent Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Independent Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Independent Bank has an alpha of 0.3436, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Independent Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Independent Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Independent Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Independent Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.5837.0438.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.2136.6738.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.6136.0737.53
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.2237.6041.74
Details

Independent Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Independent Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Independent Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Independent Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Independent Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Independent Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Independent Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Independent Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 13th of February 2026 Independent Bank paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Independent Bank Groups Stock Finds Its Footing Is IBTX Quietly Turning the Corner - AD HOC NEWS

Independent Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Independent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Independent Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Independent Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments548.1 M

Independent Bank Fundamentals Growth

Independent Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Independent Bank, and Independent Bank fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Independent Stock performance.

About Independent Bank Performance

Assessing Independent Bank's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Independent Bank's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Independent Bank is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.14  0.09 

Things to note about Independent Bank performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Independent Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Independent Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 13th of February 2026 Independent Bank paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Independent Bank Groups Stock Finds Its Footing Is IBTX Quietly Turning the Corner - AD HOC NEWS
Evaluating Independent Bank's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Independent Bank's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Independent Bank's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Independent Bank's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Independent Bank's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Independent Bank's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Independent Bank's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Independent Bank's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Independent Bank's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Independent Bank's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Independent Bank's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Independent Stock Analysis

When running Independent Bank's price analysis, check to measure Independent Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Independent Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Independent Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Independent Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Independent Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Independent Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.